Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
The Industrial Sector Performance Index is expected to signal steady expansion through 2026, supported by domestic demand, government capital expenditure, and PLI-led capacity build-up in sectors such as electronics, renewables, and specialty manufacturing.
Near-term Outlook
The Global Economic Impact Index suggests moderate external headwinds but strong domestic resilience, with India well-positioned to manage global volatility due to healthy macro buffers.
Near-term Outlook
Agricultural growth faces downside risks due to weak monsoon expectations. Below-normal rainfall could lower kharif output and overall agri GVA growth, which is currently expected around ~3% (with downside bias).
Near-term Outlook
The Services Sector Activity Index is expected to indicate continued strong expansion through 2026, supported by urban consumption, formalisation, digital adoption, and strong domestic demand.
Near-term Outlook
The Financial Sector Soundness Index indicates continued strength in credit expansion, with overall bank credit growth expected in the 13–14% range in FY26, supported by economic growth and infrastructure financing needs.
Near-term Outlook
The Equity Market Optimism Index suggests cautious optimism, with markets expected to move in a range-bound but upward-biased trend supported by strong domestic fundamentals and liquidity.
Near-term Outlook
The Consumer Inflation Index suggests that inflation is expected to move towards the 4–5% range in FY27, from current sub-4% levels. The trajectory suggests a shift from disinflation to mild reflation.
Near-term Outlook
The Interest Rate Outlook Index now indicates a prolonged pause in policy rates, with 1 Finance Research suggesting that earlier expectations of rate cuts in 2026 have largely faded, as inflation risks re-emerge and global uncertainties persist.